Menu | Explaining level changesSimon Leventhal v Somshekar Ganti (Mon 04 Nov 2024)Match won by Simon Leventhal. Result: 11-4,11-5,11-8.Starting level for Simon Leventhal: 640, level confidence: 51%. Starting level for Somshekar Ganti: 557, level confidence: 23%. Simon Leventhal to win as he is currently playing 15% better than Somshekar Ganti. Simon Leventhal won all of the games and 66% of the points. This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more. This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring). These are weighted and combined to calculate that Simon Leventhal played 94% better than Somshekar Ganti in this match. Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Simon Leventhal actually played at a level of 832 and Somshekar Ganti at a level of 429. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 30% to match this result. Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Simon Leventhal changes to +13% and Somshekar Ganti changes to -28%. After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Simon Leventhal becomes +7.7% and for Somshekar Ganti becomes -15%. Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Grove Park Squash57 Boxes' so the adjustment for Simon Leventhal is +3.9% and for Somshekar Ganti is -6.9%. Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Somshekar Ganti is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back. Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Leventhal: 72%, Somshekar Ganti: 48%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Leventhal: 55%, Somshekar Ganti: 37%. A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools. Final level for Simon Leventhal: 664, level confidence: 55%. Final level for Somshekar Ganti: 530, level confidence: 37%. Notes
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